August 9, 2018

Tuesday’s Election Results

We're officially on Insta! Did I throw on a blazer at 5 am for all you lovely people? You bet I did!

in a hotly contested U.S. House of Representatives race in Ohio late on Tuesday, holding off a strong challenge in the reliably Republican district after a late show of support from President Donald Trump... Republican Troy Balderson led Democrat Danny O’Connor by about 1,700 votes with all precincts reporting.” (Reuters)

In the

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The left is very optimistic following Tuesday’s elections.

Republicans went all out in the closing days to push Balderson over the line. Trump flew in for a rally... Despite being no fan of Trump’s, Ohio’s Republican governor, John Kasich, cut an ad backing Balderson, and GOP-backed groups outspent Democrats by a significant margin in the final weeks of the campaign.”

The Atlantic

“Republicans threw their entire negative arsenal at O’Connor, blaring that he favored ‘amnesty for illegals,’ wanted to abolish the Immigration and Customs Enforcement agency and was tight with Nancy Pelosi...O’Connor absorbed all of this and still turned the race into a nail-biter.”

New York Times

“What has to keep Democrats excited and Republican operatives and politicians worried is that all the indicators — election results, approval ratings, generic ballot polling, fundraising, resources —are pointing in the same direction.”


Regarding the deployment of an aircraft carrier and bombers, many note that the US “has a long history of provoking, instigating, or launching wars based on dubious, flimsy, or manufactured threats… The most egregious case was the U.S. invasion of Iraq, in 2003, which was based on bad intelligence that Baghdad had active weapons-of-mass-destruction programs. The repercussions are still playing out sixteen years (and more than four thousand American deaths) later… The sense of foreboding is tangible.”
Robin Wright, The New Yorker

Trump's “goal, it seems, is to put so much pressure on Tehran that it has no choice but to completely change its behavior — but he could end up leading the countries to the brink of war in the process… Now is typically the time when cooler heads prevail, but it’s unclear if there are cooler heads around… It’s hard to overstate how avoidable this situation was.”
Alex Ward, Vox

“In theory, there’s no reason why a bad businessman can’t go on to become a good president. But a commander-in-chief whose signature legislative achievement expanded tax loopholes that he himself describes as grossly unfair is pretty much a bad president, by definition.”
Eric Levitz, New York Magazine

The right is worried about the coming midterm elections.

The right is worried about the coming midterm elections.

The Blue Wave is real. That much emerged from Tuesday’s primary election race in Ohio’s 12th congressional district... Republicans have one other ace up their sleeves: Nancy Pelosi... Making the 2018 midterms about stopping Pelosi will probably not, by itself, be enough for Republicans to hang onto power. But it will help — and right now, it looks like Republicans will need all the help they can get.”


“Even as Republicans have won these special elections, they have often underperformed in them... The nonpartisan Cook Political Report rates 60 Republican-held House seats as ‘genuinely’ in play. Democrats need only to net 23 to capture the majority. Hillary Clinton won that many GOP districts in 2016.”

Washington Examiner

“Specials elections are, indeed, somewhat special. The Democrats can bring special attention to these races and pour large amounts of money into them. But Republicans can do the same... [At the same time] Trump will be hard pressed to be present in every contested district and state with a key Senate race, and certainly won’t be able to be [in] dozens of them in the two or three days just before the election.”

Power Line Blog

This isn’t the result of some great new micro-targeting gizmo, or a jarring advertising campaign, even a particularly great crop of Democratic candidates. This is primarily driven by a Republican president who is in the headlines every single day and who finds some new way to jab and poke at voters who didn’t vote for him in 2016... Maybe some working-class whites are drifting over to the GOP, but a lot of suburban women are heading to the Democrats.”

National Review

Counterpoint: “In 2017 and 2018, so far, Republicans have won eight of the ten special House elections. And one of the two Democrat wins was an all-Democrat contest in California’s 34th... Having failed to beat the Republicans, the post-election media focuses on how close the race was, how near the Democrat came to a historic upset. But House special elections are typically very close as an unusual amount of national media attention and money from both parties floods a relatively small district.”

Western Journal

Some argue that “what might be called the Republican-establishment message is not generating countervailing enthusiasm within the Trump coalition.” Instead, the GOP should adopt a cultural message focused on curbing illegal immigration and pushing back against elites and media who paint such viewpoints as bigotry. “Which side is successful in determining what the elections are about will go a long way to determining who wins them.”


Counterpoint: “after the War of 1812, President Madison… enacted the Tariff of 1816 to price British textiles out of competition, so Americans would build the new factories and capture the booming U.S. market. It worked. Tariffs [also] financed Mr. Lincoln’s War. The Tariff of 1890 bears the name of Ohio Congressman and future President William McKinley, who said that a foreign manufacturer ‘has no right or claim to equality with our own… He pays no taxes. He performs no civil duties’… [A tariff’s] purpose is not just to raise revenue but to make a nation economically independent of others, and to bring its citizens to rely upon each other rather than foreign entities.”
Patrick J. Buchanan, The American Conservative

A libertarian's take

“The scoop reflects poorly on Trump, who willfully misled the public for a decade in hopes of fraudulently representing himself as a man with a Midas touch. But he could not have succeeded without the assistance of many Americans, some mercenary, others over-credulous, who helped to spread the deceit and deception, generating countless newspaper articles, magazine stories, and TV segments that misinformed the public about the publicity hound’s record in business. New evidence of his staggering losses in that decade therefore provides an apt occasion to reflect on the media’s complicity in Trump’s brazen deceit and deception… Let [this] be a lesson for today’s tabloids, gossip columnists, over-credulous or mercenary journalists, and reality-television producers.”
Conor Friedersdorf, The Atlantic

On the bright side...

100 lucky K-Supermarket customers in Helsinkiwere allowed to bring along their sleeping bags and mattresses for the night to escape the heatwave.


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