On Monday, “the Supreme Court unanimously rejected two challenges to the constitutionality of so-called ‘faithless elector’ laws, which penalize or remove presidential electors who fail to vote for the candidate they have pledged to support.” SCOTUSblog
Both sides support the decision:
“Perhaps in past cycles, a stronger sense of duty and honor prompted electors to keep their word, no matter how they personally felt about the winning candidate. In today’s more narcissistic culture, perhaps some addle-minded electors see changing their vote as a step to fame. The 2016 election saw seven faithless electors…
“Perhaps this year all the electors will take their duties seriously, and the trend of faithless electors will wane. But the unanimous decision probably increases the odds that electors will recognize that no message justifies breaking their promise. Justice Elena Kagan wrote in her majority opinion that states may instruct, ‘electors that they have no ground for reversing the vote of millions of its citizens . . . That direction accords with the Constitution — as well as with the trust of a Nation that here, We the People rule.’ How often do we get to say, ‘Amen, Justice Kagan’?”
Jim Geraghty, National Review
“In the very first contested election — the 1796 election between Federalist John Adams and Republican Thomas Jefferson — ‘would-be electors declared themselves for one or the other party’s presidential candidate,’ Kagan writes. By 1833, Justice Joseph Story wrote that ‘‘the electors are now chosen wholly with reference to particular candidates,’ having either ‘silently’ or ‘publicly pledge[d]’ how they will vote.’…
“In total, Kagan notes, only 180 faithless electoral votes have been cast in American history, out of more than 23,000 total votes cast. And a third of these were cast in the 1872 election, ‘when the Democratic Party’s nominee (Horace Greeley) died just after Election Day.’ Setting aside the 1872 election, ‘faithless votes represent just one-half of one percent of the total.’ This history, combined with Kagan’s textual analysis, is sufficient reason to allow states to sanction faithless electors.”
Ian Millhiser, Vox
“Justice Joseph Story was an early and authoritative source on American constitutional law. In 1833 he wrote that any ‘exercise of an independent judgment [by electors] would be treated as a political usurpation, dishonourable to the individual, and a fraud upon his constituents’… this result is faithful to the text of the Constitution and avoids creating chaos if all states had to allow their electors to act as free agents. After all, while chaos might make for compelling television, it makes for terrible governance.”
Zack Smith, Daily Signal
“The decision is important because it will help avoid an election disaster in which a few electors try to thwart the will of the people. More fundamentally, the decision shows that the Supreme Court is recognizing that presidential elections really are supposed to be about majoritarian democracy, notwithstanding the quirky and creaky features inherited from the men who wrote the Constitution over 230 years ago… When you have an old Constitution like ours, sometimes the best thing isn’t to buy a new one but to bring the old one into the shop and have expert mechanics do their best to help it run safely. Today the justices acted like good, skilled mechanics.”
Noah Feldman, Bloomberg
Other opinions below.
“Interestingly, Kagan takes a textual approach to the question. Counsel for the electors argued that the intent of the founders was to allow the Electoral College the discretion needed to choose the best candidate for president. Perhaps, Kagan wrote, but if that’s what they wanted, they should have written it into the constitution… True enough! Now … let’s do abortion and its ‘emanations’ and ‘penumbras.’ This seems like a great opportunity to revisit Roe based on this same explanation, no?”
Ed Morrissey, Hot Air
“This decision doesn’t address the most controversial question about the Electoral College, which is whether the U.S. should have one at all. A growing number of Democratic states are signing on to an anti-Electoral College initiative under which they would grant their electors to the winner of the nationwide popular vote. Because the Chiafalo decision affirms the authority of states to apportion electors, it doesn’t invalidate that effort…
“Yet as Justice Thomas notes, the Constitution also contains ‘a brief list of powers removed from the States.’ Among those is the ability to enter into interstate compacts without the consent of Congress. If the national-popular vote initiative gets enough signatories to do an end-run around the Electoral College, expect the interstate compact clause to be front and center in a challenge before the Supreme Court. And unlike Chiafalo, don’t expect that decision to be unanimous.”
Editorial Board, Wall Street Journal
“The electoral college has, frankly, departed from its original design, but its value as presently practiced comes from its two centuries of tradition in choosing the American head of state - the oldest continuously elected head of state on earth.”
Dan McLaughlin, Twitter
“Only 32 states have laws attempting to bind electors to the state’s popular vote, and not all of them discount the deviant vote. And 18 states still have laws giving electors the freedom to vote independently if they so choose. Thus, absent change between now and November, there is the risk of chaos injecting itself into the system despite the court’s decision…
“The scenario to think about is an extremely close outcome in the Electoral College: for example, 270-268 or 269-269, neither of which is unrealistic if you play around with an Electoral College calculator on the internet. Those are situations where just one or two faithless electors could change the result, throw the whole system into turmoil and set up the possibility of a raging dispute in Congress on Jan. 6, when the two congressional chambers meet in a special joint session to open and count the Electoral College votes from the states… despite the court’s hope for stability this year, it provides no guarantee.”
Edward B. Foley, USA Today
“If electors are supposed to follow the voters, why have electors at all?… The justices did not address the much bigger problem, which is the existence of the Electoral College itself… First, by potentially awarding the presidency to the candidate who earns fewer votes among the people as a whole — which violates the fundamental premise of majority rule…
“Second, by violating the constitutional mandate of ‘one person, one vote.’ In the presidential election, the value of your vote depends on where you live. If you live in one of the half-dozen or so ‘battleground’ states, it matters hugely. If you happen to live in a ‘safe state,’ as a vast majority of Americans do, it’s effectively irrelevant… The Supreme Court’s ruling forces us to face the fact that there is no remaining rationale for the Electoral College.”
Jesse Wegman, New York Times
A libertarian's take
“Unfortunately, the Court's decision cannot eliminate the possibility of future faithless electors or the (hopefully remote) possibility that faithless electors could flip the result of a presidential election. The existence of human beings serving as intermediaries between the voters and the final results of a presidential election remains a serious problem in the constitutional design...
“It would be best if politicians could set aside their other differences and take the modest step of moving forward a constitutional amendment to eliminate presidential electors (which can be done without making any changes in how electoral votes in presidential elections are allocated or counted). In the meantime, states might as well take advantage of this ruling to adopt robust statutory measure to minimize the risk of faithless electors.”
Keith Whittington, Volokh Conspiracy